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(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2019 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends Here is a look before the 2019 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends: Air Force
-- 11-2 ATS as Dogs >=7 pts, 0-10 ATS vs Wyoming Akron -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS at Miami-Ohio, 1-9 ATS as Favorites >10
pts Alabama
-- 18-2 ATS in the first of back-to-back Road games, 1-6 ATS after playing Texas A&M Appalachian State -- 6-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 0-5 ATS
off a shutout win Arizona
-- 5-1 ATS as Road Dogs >=15 pts, 2-8 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts Arizona
State -- 9-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-9 ATS on weekdays Arkansas
-- 6-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 0-5 ATS after allowing 10
or less pts Arkansas
State -- 9-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 1-5 ATS after playing Troy Army -- 6-0 ATS vs better than average foes,
0-6
ATS before playing Navy Auburn -- 4-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-5 ATS before playing Florida Ball
State -- 5-1 ATS as Road Favs, 0-7
ATS vs Northern Illinois Baylor -- 7-0 ATS versus Kansas, 0-7
ATS at Home vs Texas Tech Boise
State -- 6-1 ATS vs San Jose St, 0-5 ATS before playing Byu Boston
College -- 8-0 ATS before playing Louisville, 1-5 ATS after playing Va Tech Bowling
Green -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS vs Akron, 0-5
ATS vs Buffalo Buffalo
-- 5-0 ATS vs Bowling Green, 0-3 ATS at Akron BYU -- 7-1 ATS after playing Utah, 1-8 ATS with Rest California
-- 6-1 ATS before playing Usc, 1-7 ATS vs Oregon Central Michigan -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 0-9 ATS vs Toledo Charlotte -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS with Rest, 1-10 ATS in non-Conference Play Cincinnati
-- 13-2 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS vs Temple Clemson
-- 9-1 ATS before playing Boston College, 0-6 ATS as beaten Favorites Coastal Carolina -- 3-0 ATS off exactly one ATS win, 0-3 ATS as Home
Favorites Colorado
-- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Ucla, 0-5 ATS at Arizona State Colorado
State -- 5-1 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-4 ATS as Bowlers Connecticut
-- 3-0 vs Usf, 1-8 ATS as beaten
Favorites Duke -- 5-0 ATS as Bowlers, 0-4 ATS vs Virginia East
Carolina -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs UConn, 0-6
ATS vs Temple Eastern
Michigan -- 8-0 ATS after playing
Toledo, 0-6 ATS after playing Ball State Florida
-- 6-0 ATS before playing LSU, 1-7 ATS
after playing Georgia Florida
Atlantic -- 4-1 ATS vs Western
Kentucky, 2-11 ATS after allowing at
least 35 pts Florida
International -- 7-0 ATS off a
Double Digit SU loss, 0-5 ATS as Dogs when beaten Favs Florida
State -- 7-1 ATS vs below .500 opponents, 0-9 ATS after a SU
Dog win Fresno
State -- 4-0 ATS vs Hawaii, 1-5 ATS vs New Mexico State Georgia
-- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog
win, 0-4 ATS vs Missouri Georgia Southern -- 5-0 ATS vs South Alabama, 1-4 ATS with Rest off non-Conference Play Georgia State -- 4-0 ATS before playing Troy, 3-10 ATS as Home Dogs Georgia
Tech -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before playing Virginia, 0-10 ATS at Home vs Georgia Hawaii --6-0 ATS Home vs Pac 12, 0-7 ATS before playing Fresno State Houston
-- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Road Games, 1-5
ATS after playing Smu Illinois
-- 8-0 ATS as Conference Dogs off back to back SU wins, 2-13 ATS before playing Iowa Indiana
-- 7-1 ATS vs Ohio State, 0-7 ATS as Home Dogs Iowa -- 6-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-9 ATS off 3+ ATS
wins Iowa
State -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conference Favs, 1-6 ATS before playing Tcu Kansas -- New Head Coach, 9-2 ATS after playing Texas, 0-7 ATS vs Baylor Kansas
State -- New Head Coach, 11-2 ATS with Rest, 3-7 ATS as Home Favs Kent
State -- 4-0 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 1-10 ATS as Home Favs off
SU loss Kentucky
-- 6-0 ATS vs South Carolina, 0-6
ATS
vs Georgia UL-Lafayette
-- 6-0 ATS vs Texas State, 4-9 ATS as Home Favs UL-Monroe
-- 9-1 ATS as Dogs off a Double
Digit SU win, 0-9 ATS vs
Arkansas State Liberty -- New Head Coach, 3-1 ATS off an ATS loss, 0-3 ATS off an ATS win Louisiana
Tech -- 9-0 ATS as Road Dogs <10.5 pts, 0-4 ATS as Home Favs Louisville
-- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 0-5 ATS vs Wake Forest LSU -- 8-0 ATS vs Texas
A&M, 1-5 ATS before playing Arkansas Marshall
-- 10-1 ATS last game of season, 0-4 ATS vs Western Kentucky Maryland
-- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS at Temple, 0-12 ATS off a SU and ATS Conference win Memphis
-- 5-0 ATS vs SMU, 1-7
ATS as Road Dogs Miami -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Florida, 0-6
ATS vs Louisville Miami OH
-- 6-1 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 0-4
ATS at Home vs Bowling Green Michigan
-- 4-0 ATS vs Maryland, 1-9
ATS after playing Penn State Michigan
State -- 7-0 ATS before playing Wisconsin, 1-6 ATS after playing Indiana MTSU -- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 0-9 ATS after playing
Florida
International Minnesota
-- 5-1 ATS after playing Nebraska, 1-8 ATS after playing Purdue Mississippi
-- 7-1 ATS before playing Alabama, 0-6 ATS vs Arkansas Mississippi
State -- 5-0 ATS before playing Kentucky, 0-7 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog
win Missouri
-- 59-6 ATS when they win
Straight Up on the Road, 0-9 ATS as Favorites off a SU Dog win Navy -- 4-0 ATS vs Memphis, 3-18 ATS Home off a SU Dog win Nebraska
-- 6-2 ATS as Road Dogs,
0-4 ATS as Home Dogs Nevada -- 6-1 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-3 ATS vs Fresno State New
Mexico -- 7-1 ATS vs Hawaii, 0-4 vs San Jose State New
Mexico State -- 5-0 ATS after playing Utep, 1-9 ATS as Dogs North
Carolina -- 6-0 ATS after playing Virginia Tech, 0-7 ATS first lined game North
Carolina State -- 8-0 ATS off a lined weekday game, 1-6 ATS after playing Florida State North
Texas -- 4-0 ATS after playing
UTEP, 2-6 ATS as Home Favs Northern
Illinois -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS vs Ball State,
0-5 ATS vs Central Michigan Northwestern
-- 7-0 ATS after playing Iowa, 1-6 ATS vs Ohio State Notre
Dame -- 10-1 ATS with Revenge off a win, 1-5 ATS as Home Favs of 7 or more pts Ohio
State -- New Head Coach, 5-0 vs Rutgers, 2-9 ATS before playing Michigan Ohio U -- 6-0 ATS after playing Kent, 2-10 ATS on the Road with Rest Oklahoma
-- 5-0 ATS vs West Virginia, 0-6 ATS vs Texas Oklahoma State -- 7-0 ATS after playing Texas Tech, 1-7 ATS vs Kansas State Old Dominion -- 4-0 ATS as Favorites with Revenge, 0-6 ATS
as Dogs >15 pts Oregon -- 7-1 ATS vs
California, 0-9 ATS vs Washington State Oregon
State -- 5-0 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 0-7 ATS vs foes with Revenge Penn
State -- 10-5 ATS as Home Favs, 0-4
ATS vs opponents off a SU Dog win Pittsburgh
-- 5-0 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 0-5
ATS at Home vs North Carolina Purdue -- 11-0 ATS as
Road Dogs >=11 pts, 2-11 ATS vs Wisconsin Rice -- 7-0 ATS before playing North Texas, 0-4 ATS at Uab Rutgers
-- 4-1 ATS vs Indiana, 0-5 ATS vs Ohio State San Diego
State -- 9-0 ATS with Rest off back-to-back SU losses, 1-7 ATS at Ucla San Jose
State -- 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off a
Double Digit SU win, 0-3 ATS at Nevada SMU -- 5-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs, 0-14 ATS before playing Tulsa South Alabama -- 5-0 ATS before playing Georgia State, 0-5
ATS vs Georgia Southern South
Carolina -- 4-0 ATS versus Vanderbilt, 0-6 ATS vs Kentucky South
Florida -- 4-0 ATS vs Cincinnati, 0-5
ATS as Home Favs of >6.5 pts Southern
Mississippi -- 5-0 ATS as Dogs >8.5 pts, 3-9 ATS as Home Favs Stanford
-- 5-0 ATS vs Ucla, 0-4 ATS vs Washington State Syracuse
-- 10-5 ATS as Road Dogs,1-4 ATS at Florida State TCU -- 6-1 ATS vs Baylor, 2-11 ATS as Home Favs Temple -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs East Carolina, 0-9 ATS as Favs <=14 pts with Rest Tennessee
-- 6-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-6 ATS before playing Georgia Texas -- 11-0 ATS before
playing Iowa State, 1-7 ATS before playing Oklahoma Texas A&M -- 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-13 ATS with Rest Texas State -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS
after playing
UL-Lafayette, 0-6 ATS vs UL-Lafayette Texas
Tech -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS in first of
back-to-back Road games, 2-7 ATS vs Texas Toledo -- 9-0 ATS vs
Central Michigan, 0-5 ATS Home with Rest Troy -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS off
back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 0-10
ATS as non-Conf Favs >6.5 pts Tulane -- 8-0 ATS at Home off non-Conference Play,
0-4 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts Tulsa -- 10-2 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 2-11 ATS as non-Conf Favs UAB -- 7-1 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-5 ATS with Rest vs non-Conf rivals UCF -- 9-3 ATS as Home Favorites, 0-7 ATS as Dogs
>10.5 pts UCLA -- 5-1 ATS vs Oregon State, 0-5 ATS vs Stanford UMASS -- New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-5 ATS after scoring >34.5 pts UNLV -- 4-0 ATS vs
Hawaii, 0-6 ATS before playing Fresno State USC -- 6-1 ATS at California, 0-11
ATS as Dogs <=8 pts Utah -- 19-3 ATS as Dogs >7.5 pts, 0-4 ATS vs Washington State Utah
State -- 6-0 ATS away with Rest, 1-6 ATS as Home Dogs UTEP -- 4-1 ATS vs North Texas, 1-7 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts UTSA -- 3-0 ATS at Utep, 1-9 ATS as
beaten Favs Vanderbilt
-- 6-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 2-16 ATS in Game Six Virginia
-- 4-0 ATS vs Duke, 0-7 ATS
after allowing <10.5 pts Virginia
Tech -- 3-0 ATS vs VIrginia,
0-5
ATS vs Pittsburgh Wake
Forest -- 8-0 ATS before playing
Clemson, 0-5 ATS
as Home Dogs Washington
-- 5-0 ATS vs Washington State,
0-4 ATS as non-Conf Road Favs Washington
State -- 9-0 ATS vs Oregon, 0-5 ATS vs Washington West
Virginia -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Missouri, 0-5 ATS vs Oklahoma Western
Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS vs Marshall, 1-4 ATS vs Florida Atlantic Western
Michigan -- 7-1 ATS as Conf Dogs >3 pts, 2-9 ATS vs below avg rivals as beaten Favs Wisconsin
-- 11-2 ATS vs Purdue, 1-6 ATS as Home Favs Wyoming
-- 10-0 ATS vs Air Force, 2-7 ATS at San Diego State
Here is a look before the 2019 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona
-- New Head Coach, 4-0 vs Seattle, 10-2 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs >3 pts, 1-7 ATS on Mondays, 0-4 ATS vs Rams Atlanta
-- 6-0 ATS on Thursday Home games, 8-0 ATS as Favorites off MNF, 0-6 ATS before playing
on Thursday, 0-4 ATS after playing Tampa Bay Baltimore
-- 5-0 ATS as Division Dogs >3 pts, 6-0 ATS before playing Cleveland, 0-6 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 1-6
ATS vs the AFC South Buffalo
-- 5-1 ATS before playing Miami, 5-0 ATS vs Denver,
0-5
ATS at Home vs New England, 4-9 ATS as Home Dogs Carolina
-- 10-5 ATS as Road Dogs, 8-1 ATS before playing on Thursday, 0-4 ATS at Atlanta, 2-6 ATS before playing Tampa Bay Chargers -- 14-1 ATS Home vs AFC South, 6-0 ATS
vs Houston, 0-10 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 0-5 ATS before Bye Week Chicago
-- 18-4
ATS before playing Detroit, 10-2 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-4 ATS vs New Orleans, 2-10 ATS vs NFC East Cincinnati
-- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS at AFC West, 8-0 ATS before playing
Pittsburgh, 0-4 ATS with Rest, 1-8 ATS at the AFC East Cleveland
-- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs NFC, 3-0 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-5
ATS at Home vs Cincinnati, 0-6 ATS off Thursday play Dallas -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs, 4-0 ATS vs Giants, 0-4 ATS Minnesota, 1-7 ATS after playing Giants Denver
-- New Head Coach, 10-2 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0
ATS as Division Road Favorites >3 pts, 0-5 vs Buffalo, 1-7 ATS
at AFC East Detroit
-- 4-0 ATS vs Washington, 8-0 ATS versus .333 or less rivals,
0-11 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 2-9 ATS before playing Green Bay Green Bay
-- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS after playing Chicago, 4-0
ATS off Monday play, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 1-11 ATS as Conf Dogs
with Revenge Houston
-- 5-0 ATS at Home vs Tennessee, 4-0 ATS at the AFC North, 0-6 ATS vs Chargers, 2-7 ATS after playing Jacksonville Indianapolis
-- 7-0 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games, 10-1 ATS as
Favorites after allowing at least 35 pts, 2-8 ATS before playing
Jacksonville, 1-6
ATS after scoring at least 35 pts Jacksonville
-- 7-0 ATS vs AFC North, 8-2 ATS after
playing
Tennessee, 1-8 ATS vs the AFC West, 1-11 ATS before playing Indianapolis Kansas
City -- 7-0 ATS away with Revenge, 5-1
ATS vs Denver, 1-9 ATS off SU Monday loss, 2-7 ATS at Indianapolis Miami
-- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS at Indianapolis, 5-1 ATS as Home Favs, 2-10
ATS off MNF, 0-8 ATS vs Baltimore Minnesota
-- 10-0 ATS before Bye Week, 16-5 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-11 ATS as Road
Favorites as beaten Favorites,
0-8 ATS away on Mondays New
England -- 13-2 ATS after playing Miami, 10-0
ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 7-0 ATS at Home vs Miami, 0-9 ATS as
Division Road Favorites >=8 pts New
Orleans -- 9-0 ATS as Division Dogs >= 3 pts, 4-0 ATS before Monday play, 0-5
ATS at Rams, 1-6 ATS as Division Road Favs >3 pts NY Giants
-- 10-0 ATS off
Thursday games, 6-0 ATS Home as beaten Favorites, 0-7 ATS Home vs NFC
West, 1-7 ATS after allowing >= 35pts NY
Jets
-- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS Home vs AFC West, 5-1 ATS off one ATS win, 1-8 ATS after Thursday games, 1-9 ATS after playing Buffalo Oakland
-- 4-0 ATS Home vs AFC East, 8-0 ATS away vs the AFC South, 1-6
ATS after playing Denver, 1-6
ATS before Bye Week Philadelphia
-- 4-0 ATS vs Washington, 7-1 ATS after playing Washington, 2-6 ATS as Home Favs, 0-4
ATS vs Seattle Pittsburgh
-- 5-0 ATS as Road Dogs, 5-1 ATS before playing Cincinnati, 1-9
ATS as Favs >10 pts, 2-10 ATS before MNF Rams-- 6-0 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 7-1 ATS vs foes with Rest, 0-7 ATS before Monday play, 2-9 ATS on Thursdays San
Francisco -- 7-0 ATS on Mondays vs .333 or better opponents, 4-1 ATS vs Green Bay, 0-8 ATS
with Rest, 1-9ATS at Seattle Seattle
-- 7-0 ATS on Thursdays, 12-3 ATS vs
San Francisco, 0-4 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 1-5 ATS before playing Rams Tampa
Bay
-- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC East, 4-0 ATS vs Seattle, 0-7 ATS before Thursday play, 0-5 ATS as beaten Favorites Tennessee
-- 5-0 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 7-1
ATS on MNF, 0-10 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-5 ATS as Favs >7 pts Washington
-- 8-0 ATS before Thursday play, 5-0 ATS vs Chicago, 0-7 ATS on Mondays, 1-7 ATS with Rest
2019 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years. Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team. If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Detroit, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Detroit, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one. Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game! Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ˝ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport. Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins. NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction. Here's wishing all Football bettors a
great 2019
Football Wagering Season! Make sure
to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores,
and more
importantly, FREE Winners! --Rich Green http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com Click HERE for Final 2017-18 Gold Key Football write-ups https://tinyurl.com/ya3yc7c6 Click HERE for Final 2016-17 Gold Key Football write-ups https://tinyurl.com/y74enoya Click for FreeSportsLetter Free Football Picks Page
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